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We build a separate model for each sport, grade every forecast against the market the moment a game ends, and post all of it here. Scroll down and see how each sport's model actually performs.

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BE label appears when stored juice changes the hurdle; standard 52.4 BE hurdleabove breakevenbelow breakevenMLB ML/RL and NHL ML/PL use actual stored prices.

NFL

Card power model

1,521graded

Canonical walk-forward grades

Current / latest season

2025 NFL Season
ATS52.9%135-120
255 graded
Totals51.4%131-124
255 graded
ATS lean size
Thin
54.5%
79-66 | 145
Moderate
51.6%
48-45 | 93
Wide
47.1%
8-9 | 17
O/U edge size
Thin
51.5%
35-33 | 68
Moderate
50.0%
50-50 | 100
Wide
52.3%
45-41 | 86

Historical · prior seasons

2024 NFL Season + 2023 NFL Season
ATS55.8%284-225
509 graded
Totals50.6%254-248
502 graded
ATS lean size
Thin
55.3%
151-122 | 273
Moderate
57.5%
111-82 | 193
Wide
51.2%
22-21 | 43
O/U edge size
Thin
53.3%
90-79 | 169
Moderate
49.2%
96-99 | 195
Wide
50.0%
68-68 | 136

Latest graded NFL season is shown as current until the next season has results.

NBA

Composite card model

4,471graded

Current production grades + prior walk-forward seasons

Current / latest season

2026-27 NBA Season
ATS64.3%18-10
28 graded
Totals40.7%11-16
27 graded
ATS lean size
Thin
50.0%
1-1 | 2
Moderate
100.0%
6-0 | 6
Wide
55.0%
11-9 | 20
O/U edge size
Thin
55.6%
5-4 | 9
Moderate
12.5%
1-7 | 8
Wide
50.0%
5-5 | 10

Historical · prior seasons

2025-26 NBA Season + 2024-25 NBA Season
ATS52.0%1157-1066
2,223 graded
Totals49.8%1093-1100
2,193 graded
ATS lean size
Thin
50.9%
355-342 | 697
Moderate
52.5%
421-381 | 802
Wide
52.6%
381-343 | 724
O/U edge size
Thin
48.7%
357-376 | 733
Moderate
54.0%
485-413 | 898
Wide
44.7%
251-311 | 562

Current season updates from production game-card grades; history uses the prior two tracked seasons.

MLB

Full-game card model

20,579graded

Current overnight grades + prior walk-forward seasons

Current / latest season

MLB 2026
Moneyline55.8%1353-1073
2,426 graded | BE 57.5%
Totals50.5%1159-1136
2,295 graded
Moneyline lean size
Thin
52.6%
555-501 | 1,056
BE 53.9%
Moderate
56.3%
426-331 | 757
BE 57.9%
Wide
60.7%
372-241 | 613
BE 63.5%
O/U edge size
Thin
52.8%
151-135 | 286
Moderate
46.2%
110-128 | 238
Wide
51.7%
89-83 | 172

Historical · prior seasons

MLB 2025 + MLB 2024
Moneyline55.4%2499-2010
4,509 graded | BE 58.2%
Totals51.0%2257-2169
4,426 graded
Moneyline lean size
Thin
52.4%
1095-995 | 2,090
BE 54.4%
Moderate
54.1%
773-655 | 1,428
BE 58.5%
Wide
63.7%
631-360 | 991
BE 65.7%
O/U edge size
Thin
50.6%
280-273 | 553
Moderate
53.4%
288-251 | 539
Wide
51.0%
150-144 | 294
Run line

Current / latest season

MLB 2026
Run line47.2%1141-1278
2,419 graded | BE 48.4%
Run-line lean size
Thin
49.4%
519-532 | 1,051
BE 49.9%
Moderate
45.3%
342-413 | 755
BE 46.9%
Wide
45.7%
280-333 | 613
BE 47.5%

Historical · prior seasons

MLB 2025 + MLB 2024
Run line46.8%2109-2395
4,504 graded | BE 49.1%
Run-line lean size
Thin
48.1%
1004-1084 | 2,088
BE 50.1%
Moderate
43.8%
624-802 | 1,426
BE 47.8%
Wide
48.6%
481-509 | 990
BE 48.7%

MLB moneyline and run-line breakevens use stored market prices; run-line grading normalizes mixed historical spread signs to the inferred home-side line.

NHL

Ensemble card model

8,572graded

Production moneyline and puck-line grades

Current / latest season

2026-27 NHL season
Moneyline57.0%90-68
158 graded | BE 56.0%
Totals41.8%66-92
158 graded
Moneyline edge size
Thin
58.9%
33-23 | 56
BE 55.5%
Moderate
60.4%
29-19 | 48
BE 56.4%
Wide
51.9%
28-26 | 54
BE 56.2%
O/U edge size
Thin
40.7%
11-16 | 27
Moderate
37.7%
20-33 | 53
Wide
60.0%
3-2 | 5

Historical · prior seasons

2025-26 NHL season + 2024-25 NHL season
Moneyline54.0%1487-1265
2,752 graded | BE 53.9%
Totals51.0%1324-1270
2,594 graded
Moneyline edge size
Thin
53.9%
689-590 | 1,279
BE 53.6%
Moderate
53.8%
464-398 | 862
BE 54.1%
Wide
54.7%
334-277 | 611
BE 54.2%
O/U edge size
Thin
54.2%
160-135 | 295
Moderate
53.3%
262-230 | 492
Wide
47.1%
8-9 | 17
Puck line

Current / latest season

2026-27 NHL season
Puck line55.1%87-71
158 graded | BE 56.7%
Puck-line edge size
Thin
52.6%
40-36 | 76
BE 56.7%
Moderate
62.5%
30-18 | 48
BE 56.3%
Wide
50.0%
17-17 | 34
BE 57.2%

Historical · prior seasons

2025-26 NHL season + 2024-25 NHL season
Puck line59.6%1641-1111
2,752 graded | BE 59.7%
Puck-line edge size
Thin
58.1%
773-558 | 1,331
BE 58.3%
Moderate
61.2%
591-375 | 966
BE 62.1%
Wide
60.9%
277-178 | 455
BE 58.7%

NHL moneyline and puck-line breakevens use stored pick prices; totals do not show a BE label because total-side juice is not stored in the card grade.

COLLEGE FOOTBALL

Card power model

4,440graded

Canonical walk-forward grades

Current / latest season

2025 CFB FBS Season
ATS53.0%401-356
757 graded
Totals53.4%403-351
754 graded
ATS lean size
Thin
53.4%
183-160 | 343
Moderate
54.4%
130-109 | 239
Wide
50.3%
88-87 | 175
O/U edge size
Thin
50.6%
90-88 | 178
Moderate
54.5%
122-102 | 224
Wide
54.4%
191-160 | 351

Historical · prior seasons

2024 CFB FBS Season + 2023 CFB FBS Season
ATS51.3%759-721
1,480 graded
Totals54.5%789-660
1,449 graded
ATS lean size
Thin
52.8%
311-278 | 589
Moderate
50.0%
263-263 | 526
Wide
50.7%
185-180 | 365
O/U edge size
Thin
49.3%
141-145 | 286
Moderate
54.2%
200-169 | 369
Wide
56.4%
446-345 | 791

CFB cards use the canonical walk-forward table for completed games.

COLLEGE BASKETBALL

Composite card model

20,299graded

Current production grades + walk-forward history

Current / latest season

2025-26 NCAA D1 Men's Basketball
ATS51.8%2628-2449
5,077 graded
Totals49.6%2497-2533
5,030 graded
ATS lean size
Thin
52.7%
1033-927 | 1,960
Moderate
49.0%
909-945 | 1,854
Wide
54.3%
686-577 | 1,263
O/U edge size
Thin
49.7%
917-929 | 1,846
Moderate
49.6%
1016-1032 | 2,048
Wide
49.6%
564-572 | 1,136

Historical · prior seasons

2024-25 NCAA D1 Men's Basketball + 2023-24 NCAA D1 Men's Basketball
ATS50.2%5121-5071
10,192 graded
ATS lean size
Thin
50.0%
2134-2135 | 4,269
Moderate
50.9%
1965-1894 | 3,859
Wide
49.5%
1022-1042 | 2,064

The historical line is the same walk-forward source used by the CBB accuracy surface.

WNBA

Composite card model

1,762graded

Current production grades + prior tracked seasons

Current / latest season

2026 WNBA Season
ATS51.4%171-162
333 graded
Totals52.1%171-157
328 graded
ATS lean size
Thin
52.5%
52-47 | 99
Moderate
48.8%
61-64 | 125
Wide
53.2%
58-51 | 109
O/U edge size
Thin
50.6%
81-79 | 160
Moderate
51.9%
68-63 | 131
Wide
59.5%
22-15 | 37

Historical · prior seasons

2025 WNBA Season + 2024 WNBA Season
ATS49.5%274-279
553 graded
Totals52.2%286-262
548 graded
ATS lean size
Thin
48.6%
72-76 | 148
Moderate
48.2%
95-102 | 197
Wide
51.4%
107-101 | 208
O/U edge size
Thin
47.7%
93-102 | 195
Moderate
53.7%
139-120 | 259
Wide
57.4%
54-40 | 94

Current WNBA grades roll in from the production table; history uses tracked prior-season rows.

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